A probabilistic graphical model for assessing equivocal evidence

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Ressource 1Download: TaroniGarbolinoBozza_2024.pdf (1321.46 [Ko])
State: Public
Version: Final published version
License: CC BY 4.0
Serval ID
serval:BIB_4DC93981093B
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
A probabilistic graphical model for assessing equivocal evidence
Journal
Law, Probability and Risk
Author(s)
Taroni Franco, Garbolino Paolo, Bozza Silvia
ISSN
1470-8396
1470-840X
Publication state
Published
Issued date
25/04/2024
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
23
Pages
1-14
Language
english
Abstract
The Bayes’ theorem can be generalized to account for uncertainty on reported evidence. This has an impact on the value of the evidence, making the computation of the Bayes factor more demanding, as discussed by Taroni, Garbolino, and Bozza (2020). Probabilistic graphical models can however represent a suitable tool to assist the scientist in their evaluative task. A Bayesian network is proposed to deal with equivocal evidence and its use is illustrated through examples.
Keywords
Bayes’ Theorem, Jeffrey’s Conditionalisation, Bayesian Networks, Probability Kinematics, Bayes Factor, Uncertain Evidence Evaluation.
Open Access
Yes
Funding(s)
Swiss National Science Foundation / 100011_204554
Create date
25/04/2024 14:14
Last modification date
26/04/2024 7:11
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