The dynamics of squared returns under contemporaneous aggregation of GARCH models

Details

Serval ID
serval:BIB_E986D81F3E28
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
The dynamics of squared returns under contemporaneous aggregation of GARCH models
Journal
Journal of Empirical Finance
Author(s)
Jondeau E.
ISSN
0927-5398
Publication state
Published
Issued date
06/2015
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
32
Pages
80-93
Language
english
Abstract
The paper investigates the properties of a portfolio composed of a large number of assets driven by a strong multivariate GARCH(1,1) process with heterogeneous parameters. The aggregate return is shown to be a weak GARCH process with a (possibly large) number of lags, which reflects the moments of the distribution of the individual persistence parameters. The paper describes a consistent estimator of the aggregate return dynamics, based on nonlinear least squares. The proposed aggregation-corrected estimator (ACE) performs very well and outperforms some competing estimators in forecasting the daily variance of U.S. stocks portfolios at different horizons.
Keywords
Aggregation, Heterogeneity, GARCH model, Volatility
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Create date
18/08/2017 10:27
Last modification date
21/08/2019 6:15
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