The dynamics of squared returns under contemporaneous aggregation of GARCH models
Détails
ID Serval
serval:BIB_E986D81F3E28
Type
Article: article d'un périodique ou d'un magazine.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Titre
The dynamics of squared returns under contemporaneous aggregation of GARCH models
Périodique
Journal of Empirical Finance
ISSN
0927-5398
Statut éditorial
Publié
Date de publication
06/2015
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
32
Pages
80-93
Langue
anglais
Résumé
The paper investigates the properties of a portfolio composed of a large number of assets driven by a strong multivariate GARCH(1,1) process with heterogeneous parameters. The aggregate return is shown to be a weak GARCH process with a (possibly large) number of lags, which reflects the moments of the distribution of the individual persistence parameters. The paper describes a consistent estimator of the aggregate return dynamics, based on nonlinear least squares. The proposed aggregation-corrected estimator (ACE) performs very well and outperforms some competing estimators in forecasting the daily variance of U.S. stocks portfolios at different horizons.
Mots-clé
Aggregation, Heterogeneity, GARCH model, Volatility
Web of science
Création de la notice
18/08/2017 9:27
Dernière modification de la notice
21/08/2019 5:15