The dynamics of squared returns under contemporaneous aggregation of GARCH models

Détails

ID Serval
serval:BIB_E986D81F3E28
Type
Article: article d'un périodique ou d'un magazine.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Titre
The dynamics of squared returns under contemporaneous aggregation of GARCH models
Périodique
Journal of Empirical Finance
Auteur⸱e⸱s
Jondeau E.
ISSN
0927-5398
Statut éditorial
Publié
Date de publication
06/2015
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
32
Pages
80-93
Langue
anglais
Résumé
The paper investigates the properties of a portfolio composed of a large number of assets driven by a strong multivariate GARCH(1,1) process with heterogeneous parameters. The aggregate return is shown to be a weak GARCH process with a (possibly large) number of lags, which reflects the moments of the distribution of the individual persistence parameters. The paper describes a consistent estimator of the aggregate return dynamics, based on nonlinear least squares. The proposed aggregation-corrected estimator (ACE) performs very well and outperforms some competing estimators in forecasting the daily variance of U.S. stocks portfolios at different horizons.
Mots-clé
Aggregation, Heterogeneity, GARCH model, Volatility
Web of science
Création de la notice
18/08/2017 10:27
Dernière modification de la notice
21/08/2019 6:15
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