Estimating the basic reproductive number from viral sequence data.

Details

Serval ID
serval:BIB_6727E799CE03
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
Estimating the basic reproductive number from viral sequence data.
Journal
Molecular Biology and Evolution
Author(s)
Stadler T., Kouyos R., von Wyl V., Yerly S., Böni J., Bürgisser P., Klimkait T., Joos B., Rieder P., Xie D., Günthard H.F., Drummond A.J., Bonhoeffer S.
Working group(s)
Swiss HIV Cohort Study
ISSN
1537-1719 (Electronic)
ISSN-L
0737-4038
Publication state
Published
Issued date
2012
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
29
Number
1
Pages
347-357
Language
english
Notes
Publication types: Journal Article ; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Abstract
Epidemiological processes leave a fingerprint in the pattern of genetic structure of virus populations. Here, we provide a new method to infer epidemiological parameters directly from viral sequence data. The method is based on phylogenetic analysis using a birth-death model (BDM) rather than the commonly used coalescent as the model for the epidemiological transmission of the pathogen. Using the BDM has the advantage that transmission and death rates are estimated independently and therefore enables for the first time the estimation of the basic reproductive number of the pathogen using only sequence data, without further assumptions like the average duration of infection. We apply the method to genetic data of the HIV-1 epidemic in Switzerland.
Keywords
Basic Reproduction Number, Bayes Theorem, HIV Infections/epidemiology, HIV Infections/virology, HIV-1/genetics, Humans, Models, Biological, Models, Statistical, Phylogeny
Pubmed
Web of science
Open Access
Yes
Create date
26/01/2012 19:46
Last modification date
20/08/2019 15:22
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