Estimating the basic reproductive number from viral sequence data.

Détails

ID Serval
serval:BIB_6727E799CE03
Type
Article: article d'un périodique ou d'un magazine.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Titre
Estimating the basic reproductive number from viral sequence data.
Périodique
Molecular Biology and Evolution
Auteur⸱e⸱s
Stadler T., Kouyos R., von Wyl V., Yerly S., Böni J., Bürgisser P., Klimkait T., Joos B., Rieder P., Xie D., Günthard H.F., Drummond A.J., Bonhoeffer S.
Collaborateur⸱rice⸱s
Swiss HIV Cohort Study
ISSN
1537-1719 (Electronic)
ISSN-L
0737-4038
Statut éditorial
Publié
Date de publication
2012
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
29
Numéro
1
Pages
347-357
Langue
anglais
Notes
Publication types: Journal Article ; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Résumé
Epidemiological processes leave a fingerprint in the pattern of genetic structure of virus populations. Here, we provide a new method to infer epidemiological parameters directly from viral sequence data. The method is based on phylogenetic analysis using a birth-death model (BDM) rather than the commonly used coalescent as the model for the epidemiological transmission of the pathogen. Using the BDM has the advantage that transmission and death rates are estimated independently and therefore enables for the first time the estimation of the basic reproductive number of the pathogen using only sequence data, without further assumptions like the average duration of infection. We apply the method to genetic data of the HIV-1 epidemic in Switzerland.
Mots-clé
Basic Reproduction Number, Bayes Theorem, HIV Infections/epidemiology, HIV Infections/virology, HIV-1/genetics, Humans, Models, Biological, Models, Statistical, Phylogeny
Pubmed
Web of science
Open Access
Oui
Création de la notice
26/01/2012 19:46
Dernière modification de la notice
20/08/2019 15:22
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