The role of the Bayes factor in the evaluation of evidence

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License: CC BY 4.0
Serval ID
serval:BIB_11CBA84DD7FA
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
The role of the Bayes factor in the evaluation of evidence
Journal
Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application
Author(s)
Aitken Colin, Taroni Franco, Bozza Silvia
Publication state
Published
Issued date
24/04/2024
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
11
Pages
203–226
Language
english
Abstract
The use of the Bayes factor as a metric for the assessment of the probative value of forensic scientific evidence is largely supported by recommended standards in different disciplines. The application of Bayesian networks enables the consideration of problems of increasing complexity. The lack of a widespread consensus concerning key aspects of evidence evaluation and interpretation, such as the adequacy of a probabilistic framework for handling uncertainty or the method by which conclusions regarding how the strength of the evidence should be reported to a court, has meant the role of the Bayes factor in the administration of criminal justice has come under increasing challenge in recent years.We review the many advantages the Bayes factor has as an approach to the evaluation and interpretation of evidence.
Keywords
Bayes factor, Bayesian network, forensic science, likelihood ratio, probabilistic reasoning, scientific evidence, value of evidence.
Open Access
Yes
Create date
24/04/2024 9:53
Last modification date
25/04/2024 7:08
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