Interpreting and Stabilizing Machine-Learning Parametrizations of Convection

Details

Serval ID
serval:BIB_D99C79F5B319
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Title
Interpreting and Stabilizing Machine-Learning Parametrizations of Convection
Journal
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences
Author(s)
Brenowitz Noah D., Beucler Tom, Pritchard Michael, Bretherton Christopher S.
ISSN
0022-4928
1520-0469
Publication state
Published
Issued date
12/2020
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
77
Number
12
Pages
4357-4375
Language
english
Abstract
Neural networks are a promising technique for parameterizing subgrid-scale physics (e.g., moist atmospheric convection) in coarse-resolution climate models, but their lack of interpretability and reliability prevents widespread adoption. For instance, it is not fully understood why neural network parameterizations often cause dramatic instability when coupled to atmospheric fluid dynamics. This paper introduces tools for interpreting their behavior that are customized to the parameterization task. First, we assess the nonlinear sensitivity of a neural network to lower-tropospheric stability and the midtropospheric moisture, two widely studied controls of moist convection. Second, we couple the linearized response functions of these neural networks to simplified gravity wave dynamics, and analytically diagnose the corresponding phase speeds, growth rates, wavelengths, and spatial structures. To demonstrate their versatility, these techniques are tested on two sets of neural networks, one trained with a superparameterized version of the Community Atmosphere Model (SPCAM) and the second with a near-global cloud-resolving model (GCRM). Even though the SPCAM simulation has a warmer climate than the cloud-resolving model, both neural networks predict stronger heating/drying in moist and unstable environments, which is consistent with observations. Moreover, the spectral analysis can predict that instability occurs when GCMs are coupled to networks that support gravity waves that are unstable and have phase speeds larger than 5 m s<jats:sup>−1</jats:sup>. In contrast, standing unstable modes do not cause catastrophic instability. Using these tools, differences between the SPCAM-trained versus GCRM-trained neural networks are analyzed, and strategies to incrementally improve both of their coupled online performance unveiled.
Keywords
Conditional instability, Cloud resolving models, Parameterization, Machine learning
Web of science
Open Access
Yes
Create date
21/02/2023 15:36
Last modification date
25/10/2023 14:26
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