Random forest machine learning algorithm predicts virologic outcomes among HIV infected adults in Lausanne, Switzerland using electronically monitored combined antiretroviral treatment adherence.

Details

Serval ID
serval:BIB_C57093B4CF9D
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
Random forest machine learning algorithm predicts virologic outcomes among HIV infected adults in Lausanne, Switzerland using electronically monitored combined antiretroviral treatment adherence.
Journal
AIDS care
Author(s)
Kamal S., Urata J., Cavassini M., Liu H., Kouyos R., Bugnon O., Wang W., Schneider M.P.
ISSN
1360-0451 (Electronic)
ISSN-L
0954-0121
Publication state
Published
Issued date
04/2021
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
33
Number
4
Pages
530-536
Language
english
Notes
Publication types: Journal Article ; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Publication Status: ppublish
Abstract
Machine Learning (ML) can improve the analysis of complex and interrelated factors that place adherent people at risk of viral rebound. Our aim was to build ML model to predict RNA viral rebound from medication adherence and clinical data. Patients were followed up at the Swiss interprofessional medication adherence program (IMAP). Sociodemographic and clinical variables were retrieved from the Swiss HIV Cohort Study (SHCS). Daily electronic medication adherence between 2008-2016 were analyzed retrospectively. Predictor variables included: RNA viral load (VL), CD4 count, duration of ART, and adherence. Random Forest, was used with 10 fold cross validation to predict the RNA class for each data observation. Classification accuracy metrics were calculated for each of the 10-fold cross validation holdout datasets. The values for each range from 0 to 1 (better accuracy). 383 HIV+ patients, 56% male, 52% white, median (Q1, Q3): age 43 (36, 50), duration of electronic monitoring of adherence 564 (200, 1333) days, CD4 count 406 (209, 533) cells/mm3, time since HIV diagnosis was 8.4 (4, 13.5) years, were included. Average model classification accuracy metrics (AUC and F1) for RNA VL were 0.6465 and 0.7772, respectively. In conclusion, combining adherence with other clinical predictors improve predictions of RNA.
Keywords
Adult, Algorithms, Anti-HIV Agents/therapeutic use, Antiretroviral Therapy, Highly Active/methods, CD4 Lymphocyte Count, Cohort Studies, Female, HIV Infections/drug therapy, HIV Infections/epidemiology, HIV Infections/psychology, Humans, Machine Learning, Male, Medication Adherence/psychology, Medication Adherence/statistics & numerical data, Retrospective Studies, Switzerland/epidemiology, Treatment Outcome, Viral Load/drug effects, AIV/AIDS, Antiretroviral adherence, machine learning, medication adherence, methods
Pubmed
Web of science
Create date
25/04/2020 22:16
Last modification date
07/03/2022 7:30
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