Civil Wars and International Trade

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State: Public
Version: Final published version
License: Not specified
Serval ID
serval:BIB_C0DC94999904
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
Civil Wars and International Trade
Journal
Journal of the European Economic Association
Author(s)
Martin  P., Mayer  T., Thoenig  M.
ISSN
1542-4766
Publication state
Published
Issued date
2008
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
6
Number
2-3
Pages
541-550
Language
english
Abstract
This article analyzes empirically the relationship between civil wars and international trade. We first show that trade destruction due to civil wars is very large and persistent and increases with the severity of the conflict. We then identify two effects that trade can have on the risk of civil conflicts: It may act as a deterrent if trade gain's are put at risk during civil wars, but it may also act as an insurance if international trade provides a substitute to internal trade during civil wars. We find Support for the presence of these two mechanisms and conclude that trade openness may deter the most severe civil wars (those that destroy the largest amount of trade) but may increase the risk of lower-scale conflicts.
Web of science
Create date
28/08/2009 12:51
Last modification date
01/11/2019 10:24
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