PPP Strikes Back: Aggregation and the Real Exchange Rate

Details

Serval ID
serval:BIB_BB9B840D475B
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
PPP Strikes Back: Aggregation and the Real Exchange Rate
Journal
Quarterly Journal of Economics
Author(s)
Imbs J., Mumtaz H., Ravn M., Rey H.
Publication state
Published
Issued date
02/2005
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
120
Number
1
Pages
1-43
Notes
Lead article
Abstract
We show the importance of a dynamic aggregation bias in accounting for the PPP puzzle. We prove that the aggregate real exchange rate is persistent because its components have heterogeneous dynamics. Established time series and panel methods fail to control for this. Using Eurostat data, we find that when heterogeneity is taken into account, the estimated persistence of real exchange rates falls dramatically. Its half-life, for instance, may fall to as low as eleven months, significantly below the "consensus view" of three to five years.
Keywords
Real Exchange Rate Persistence, Purchasing Power Parity, Aggregation, Parameter Heterogeneity
Create date
19/11/2007 10:46
Last modification date
20/08/2019 15:29
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