Systematic Sampling and Validation of Machine Learning-Parameterizations in Climate Models

Details

Serval ID
serval:BIB_B5276A20F608
Type
Autre: use this type when nothing else fits.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
Systematic Sampling and Validation of Machine Learning-Parameterizations in Climate Models
Author(s)
Jerry Lin, Sungduk Yu, Tom Beucler, Pierre Gentine, David Walling, Mike Pritchard
Issued date
2023
Language
english
Abstract
Progress in hybrid physics-machine learning (ML) climate simulations has been limited by the difficulty of obtaining performant coupled (i.e. online) simulations. While evaluating hundreds of ML parameterizations of subgrid closures (here of convection and radiation) offline is straightforward, online evaluation at the same scale is technically challenging. Our software automation achieves an order-of-magnitude larger sampling of online modeling errors than has previously been examined. Using this, we evaluate the hybrid climate model performance and define strategies to improve it. We show that model online performance improves when incorporating memory, a relative humidity input feature transformation, and additional input variables. We also reveal substantial variation in online error and inconsistencies between offline vs. online error statistics. The implication is that hundreds of candidate ML models should be evaluated online to detect the effects of parameterization design choices. This is considerably more sampling than tends to be reported in the current literature.
Create date
13/10/2023 13:46
Last modification date
16/10/2023 7:07
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