The heritability of breast cancer : a Bayesian correlated frailty model applied to Swedish twins data

Details

Serval ID
serval:BIB_B1DDEC8CA0A2
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Title
The heritability of breast cancer : a Bayesian correlated frailty model applied to Swedish twins data
Journal
Twin Research : the Official Journal of the International Society For Twin Studies
Author(s)
Locatelli I., Lichtenstein P., Yashin A.I.
ISSN
1369-0523 (Print)
ISSN-L
1369-0523
Publication state
Published
Issued date
2004
Volume
7
Number
2
Pages
182-191
Language
english
Abstract
The aim of this study was to investigate the role of genes and environment in susceptibility to breast cancer and to give an estimate of heritability in the propensity to develop the disease. To do this we applied an interdisciplinary approach, merging models developed in the field of demography and survival analysis - so-called frailty models - and models coming from quantitative genetics and epidemiology, namely genetic models. In our study, the inferential problem was solved in a Bayesian framework and the numerical work was carried out using MCMC methods. We used the special information coming from twin data, particularly breast cancer data, from the Swedish Twin Register. The application of a correlated log-normal frailty model leads to a very large estimate of the population heterogeneity (sigma = 6.7), and relatively small correlations between co-twins' frailties - around 0.3 for monozygotic and 0.1 for dizygotic twins. Comparing three different genetic models (an ACE, an AE and an ADE model), we furthermore concluded that genetic effects would explain globally almost 30% of the total variability of propensity to breast cancer. Environmental effects would be predominant in determining breast cancer susceptibility and these effects would be primarily individual-specific, that is, non-shared effects. Finally, a model which includes dominance genetic effects (ADE model) is preferred for genetic and statistical reasons.
Keywords
Bayes Theorem, Breast Neoplasms/epidemiology, Breast Neoplasms/genetics, Demography, Disease Susceptibility, Diseases in Twins/epidemiology, Diseases in Twins/genetics, Environment, Female, Genetic Predisposition to Disease, Humans, Models, Biological, Models, Genetic, Registries, Survival Analysis, Sweden/epidemiology
Pubmed
Web of science
Create date
28/05/2015 14:16
Last modification date
20/08/2019 16:20
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