Uncertainty quantification in extreme learning machine: Analytical developments, variance estimates and confidence intervals
Details
Serval ID
serval:BIB_B1CFF43932F6
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
Uncertainty quantification in extreme learning machine: Analytical developments, variance estimates and confidence intervals
Journal
Neurocomputing
ISSN
0925-2312
Publication state
Published
Issued date
10/2021
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
456
Pages
436-449
Language
english
Abstract
Uncertainty quantification is crucial to assess prediction quality of a machine learning model. In the case of Extreme Learning Machines (ELM), most methods proposed in the literature make strong assumptions on the data, ignore the randomness of input weights or neglect the bias contribution in confidence interval estimations. This paper presents novel estimations that overcome these constraints and improve the understanding of ELM variability. Analytical derivations are provided under general assumptions, supporting the identification and the interpretation of the contribution of different variability sources. Under both homoskedasticity and heteroskedasticity, several variance estimates are proposed, investigated, and numerically tested, showing their effectiveness in replicating the expected variance behaviours. Finally, the feasibility of confidence intervals estimation is discussed by adopting a critical approach, hence raising the awareness of ELM users concerning some of their pitfalls. The paper is accompanied with a scikit-learn compatible Python library enabling efficient computation of all estimates discussed herein.
Keywords
Cognitive Neuroscience, Artificial Intelligence, Computer Science Applications
Open Access
Yes
Funding(s)
Swiss National Science Foundation
Create date
05/07/2021 11:23
Last modification date
11/01/2025 7:16