Prediction in forensic science: a critical examination of common understandings
Details
State: Public
Version: Final published version
Serval ID
serval:BIB_AA73E1F53902
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
Prediction in forensic science: a critical examination of common understandings
Journal
Frontiers in Psychology, Quantitative Psychology and Measurement. Research topic "Judgement and decision under uncertainty : Theory and measurement"
ISSN
1664-1078
Publication state
Published
Issued date
05/2015
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
6
Number
737
Pages
1-7
Language
english
Abstract
In this commentary, we argue that the term 'prediction' is overly used when in fact, referring to foundational writings of de Finetti, the correspondent term should be inference. In particular, we intend (i) to summarize and clarify relevant subject matter on prediction from established statistical theory, and (ii) point out the logic of this understanding with respect practical uses of the term prediction. Written from an interdisciplinary perspective, associating statistics and forensic science as an example, this discussion also connects to related fields such as medical diagnosis and other areas of application where reasoning based on scientific results is practiced in societal relevant contexts. This includes forensic psychology that uses prediction as part of its vocabulary when dealing with matters that arise in the course of legal proceedings.
Open Access
Yes
Create date
20/05/2015 9:57
Last modification date
20/08/2019 16:14