Development and validation of a predictive mortality risk score from a European hemodialysis cohort.
Details
Serval ID
serval:BIB_8DD99696350E
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
Development and validation of a predictive mortality risk score from a European hemodialysis cohort.
Journal
Kidney international
ISSN
1523-1755 (Electronic)
ISSN-L
0085-2538
Publication state
Published
Issued date
05/2015
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
87
Number
5
Pages
996-1008
Language
english
Notes
Publication types: Journal Article ; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't ; Validation Studies
Publication Status: ppublish
Publication Status: ppublish
Abstract
Although mortality risk scores for chronic hemodialysis (HD) patients should have an important role in clinical decision-making, those currently available have limited applicability, robustness, and generalizability. Here we applied a modified Framingham Heart Study approach to derive 1- and 2-year all-cause mortality risk scores using a 11,508 European incident HD patient database (AROii) recruited between 2007 and 2009. This scoring model was validated externally using similar-sized Dialysis Outcomes and Practice Patterns Survey (DOPPS) data. For AROii, the observed 1- and 2-year mortality rates were 13.0 (95% confidence interval (CI; 12.3-13.8)) and 11.2 (10.4-12.1)/100 patient years, respectively. Increasing age, low body mass index, history of cardiovascular disease or cancer, and use of a vascular access catheter during baseline were consistent predictors of mortality. Among baseline laboratory markers, hemoglobin, ferritin, C-reactive protein, serum albumin, and creatinine predicted death within 1 and 2 years. When applied to the DOPPS population, the predictive risk score models were highly discriminatory, and generalizability remained high when restricted by incidence/prevalence and geographic location (C-statistics 0.68-0.79). This new model offers improved predictive power over age/comorbidity-based models and also predicted early mortality (C-statistic 0.71). Our new model delivers a robust and reproducible mortality risk score, based on readily available clinical and laboratory data.
Keywords
Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Cohort Studies, Europe/epidemiology, Female, Humans, Kidney Failure, Chronic/mortality, Male, Middle Aged, Renal Dialysis/mortality, Risk Assessment
Pubmed
Web of science
Open Access
Yes
Create date
03/03/2016 16:49
Last modification date
21/08/2019 5:35