Version: Final published version
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Bayesian inference for small-sample capture-recapture data.
We consider data on the survival of a population of Cephalorhynchus hectori, Hector's dolphins, in a marine area of New Zealand. To estimate survival probabilities of animal populations, a multiple capture-recapture sampling scheme can be used. In this paper, we propose a practical methodology to derive approximations to posterior distributions based on Laplace methods. We show how to calculate Bayes estimates and credible intervals in this setting.
capture-recapture, Laplace approximation, posterior tail probabilities, small-sample inference, survival probabilities
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