Are Scores Reliable in Predicting the Need for Surgery and Mortality in Necrotizing Enterocolitis?

Details

Serval ID
serval:BIB_607482CA2D97
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Title
Are Scores Reliable in Predicting the Need for Surgery and Mortality in Necrotizing Enterocolitis?
Journal
European journal of pediatric surgery
Author(s)
Arni D., Karam O., Vidal I., Rimensberger P.C., Hanquinet S., Wildhaber B.E.
ISSN
1439-359X (Electronic)
ISSN-L
0939-7248
Publication state
Published
Issued date
08/2017
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
27
Number
4
Pages
330-335
Language
english
Notes
Publication types: Journal Article
Publication Status: ppublish
Abstract
Background Management of children with necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) remains challenging. Various scores try to facilitate therapeutic decision-making. We aim to assess the agreement of three scores intending to predict the need for surgery and/or mortality in our patient cohort, and analyze agreement between the different scores. Methods This study is a retrospective analysis of patients with NEC Bell's stage II and III, managed in a single institution (1991-2011). Three existing scores (Metabolic Derangement Acuity score, NEC score, Detroit score) were calculated individually for each patient. The agreement between predicted outcome by scores and real outcome was evaluated with kappa statistic. Results Of 57 children, 46% presented with NEC stage II, 54% with stage III, 46% were treated with surgery, 54% conservatively, and survival was 58%. The kappa indexes for "need for surgery" were 0.41, 0.13, and 0.12 and kappa indexes for "mortality" were 0.27, 0.04, and 0.1 for the Metabolic Derangement Acuity score, the NEC score, and the Detroit score, respectively. Conclusion In our cohort, the agreement between the predicted outcomes by scores and the real need for surgery and/or mortality was poor. There was a lack of clinical usefulness of the tested scores. We must continue to better identify parameters to help guide the management of these patients.

Pubmed
Web of science
Create date
08/12/2016 17:30
Last modification date
22/08/2019 9:29
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