Self-Fulfilling Risk Panics
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Serval ID
serval:BIB_4CD8AFA4AF92
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
Self-Fulfilling Risk Panics
Journal
American Economic Review
ISSN
0002-8282
Publication state
Published
Issued date
12/2012
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
102
Number
7
Pages
3674-3700
Language
english
Abstract
Recent crises have seen large spikes in asset price risk. We propose an explanation for such panics based on self-fulfilling shifts in beliefs about risk. A negative link between the current level and the future risk of an asset price leads to a circular relationship between the stochastic process of asset price risk and the price itself. Self-fulfilling shifts in perceived risk can be coordinated around a pure sunspot or around a macro fundamental. In a risk panic, a macro fundamental can be a focal point that affects both the magnitude of the panic and subsequent shifts in perceived risk.
Keywords
Sunsports matter, Asset, Equilibrium, Volatility, Crises
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Create date
18/02/2011 12:57
Last modification date
20/08/2019 14:01