Low discriminating power of the modified Ottawa VTE risk score in a cohort of patients with cancer from the RIETE registry.

Details

Serval ID
serval:BIB_1A02DFB51DEB
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
Low discriminating power of the modified Ottawa VTE risk score in a cohort of patients with cancer from the RIETE registry.
Journal
Thrombosis and haemostasis
Author(s)
Alatri A., Mazzolai L., Font C., Tafur A., Valle R., Marchena P.J., Ballaz A., Tiraferri E., Font L., Monreal M., Riete Investigators T.
ISSN
2567-689X (Electronic)
ISSN-L
0340-6245
Publication state
Published
Issued date
26/07/2017
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
117
Number
8
Pages
1630-1636
Language
english
Notes
Publication types: Journal Article ; Multicenter Study
Publication Status: ppublish
Abstract
Treatment of patients with cancer-associated venous thromboembolism (VTE) remains a major challenge. The modified Ottawa score is a clinical prediction rule evaluating the risk of VTE recurrences during the first six months of anticoagulant treatment in patients with cancer-related VTE. We aimed to validate the Ottawa score using data from the RIETE registry. A total of 11,123 cancer patients with VTE were included in the analysis. According to modified Ottawa score, 2,343 (21 %) were categorised at low risk for VTE recurrences, 4,525 (41 %) at intermediate risk, and 4,255 (38 %) at high risk. Overall, 477 episodes of VTE recurrences were recorded during the course of anticoagulant therapy, with an incidence rate for low, intermediate, and high risk groups of 6.88 % (95 % CI 5.31-8.77), 11.8 % (95 % CI 10.1-13.6), and 21.3 % (95 % CI 18.8-24.1) patient-years, respectively. Overall mortality had an incidence rate of 21.1 % (95 % CI 18.2-24.3), 79.4 % (95 % CI: 74.9-84.1), and 134.7 % (95 % CI: 128.3-141.4) patient-years, respectively. The accuracy and discriminating power of the modified Ottawa score for VTE recurrence was modest, with low sensitivity, specificity and positive predictive value, and a C-statistics of 0.58 (95 % CI: 0.56-0.61). In our analysis, the modified Ottawa score did not accurately predict VTE recurrence among patients with cancer-associated thrombosis, thus hindering its use in clinical practice. It is time to define a new score including other clinical predictors.

Keywords
Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Anticoagulants/therapeutic use, Decision Support Techniques, Europe, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Neoplasms/complications, Neoplasms/diagnosis, Neoplasms/mortality, Predictive Value of Tests, Pulmonary Embolism/diagnosis, Pulmonary Embolism/drug therapy, Pulmonary Embolism/etiology, Pulmonary Embolism/mortality, Recurrence, Registries, Risk Assessment, Risk Factors, Time Factors, Treatment Outcome, Venous Thromboembolism/diagnosis, Venous Thromboembolism/drug therapy, Venous Thromboembolism/etiology, Venous Thromboembolism/mortality, Venous Thrombosis/diagnosis, Venous Thrombosis/drug therapy, Venous Thrombosis/etiology, Venous Thrombosis/mortality, Venous thromboembolism, decision support techniques, neoplasms, recurrence, venous thrombosis
Pubmed
Web of science
Create date
30/05/2017 17:57
Last modification date
20/08/2019 13:51
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