Stability and change in party preferences.

Détails

Ressource 1Télécharger: BIB_17B1D4739003.P001.pdf (469.09 [Ko])
Etat: Serval
Version: Final published version
ID Serval
serval:BIB_17B1D4739003
Type
Article: article d'un périodique ou d'un magazine.
Collection
Publications
Titre
Stability and change in party preferences.
Périodique
Swiss Political Science Review
Auteur(s)
Kuhn Ursina
Statut éditorial
Publié
Date de publication
2009
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
15
Numéro
3
Pages
463-494
Langue
anglais
Résumé
This article analyses stability and volatility of party preferences using data from the Swiss Household-Panel (SHP), which, for the first time, allow studying transitions and stability of voters over several years in Switzerland. Analyses cover the years 1999- 2007 and systematically distinguish changes between party blocks and changes within party blocks. The first part looks at different patterns of change, which show relatively high volatility. The second part tests several theories on causes of such changes applying a multinomial random-effects model. Results show that party preferences stabilise with their duration and with age and that the electoral cycle, political sophistication, socio-structural predispositions, the household-context as well as party size and the number of parties each explain part of electoral volatility. Different results for withinand between party-block changes underlie the importance of that differentiation.
Mots-clé
Electoral Research , Voting Intention , Panel Data , Volatility
Création de la notice
12/01/2010 16:52
Dernière modification de la notice
03/03/2018 14:19
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