A comparison of the original and simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index.

Details

Serval ID
serval:BIB_13A8E9B01AC6
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
A comparison of the original and simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index.
Journal
Thrombosis and haemostasis
Author(s)
Venetz C., Jiménez D., Mean M., Aujesky D.
ISSN
0340-6245 (Print)
ISSN-L
0340-6245
Publication state
Published
Issued date
09/2011
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
106
Number
3
Pages
423-428
Language
english
Notes
Publication types: Comparative Study ; Journal Article ; Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural ; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Publication Status: ppublish

Abstract
The Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (PESI) is a validated clinical prognostic model for patients with pulmonary embolism (PE). Recently, a simplified version of the PESI was developed. We sought to compare the prognostic performance of the original and simplified PESI. Using data from 15,531 patients with PE, we compared the proportions of patients classified as low versus higher risk between the original and simplified PESI and estimated 30-day mortality within each risk group. To assess the models' accuracy to predict mortality, we calculated sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values and likelihood ratios for low- versus higher-risk patients. We also compared the models' discriminative power by calculating the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve. The overall 30-day mortality was 9.3%. The original PESI classified a significantly greater proportion of patients as low-risk than the simplified PESI (40.9% vs. 36.8%; p<0.001). Low-risk patients based on the original and simplified PESI had a mortality of 2.3% and 2.7%, respectively. The original and simplified PESI had similar sensitivities (90% vs. 89%), negative predictive values (98% vs. 97%), and negative likelihood ratios (0.23 vs. 0.28) for predicting mortality. The original PESI had a significantly greater discriminatory power than the simplified PESI (area under the ROC curve 0.78 [95% CI: 0.77-0.79] vs. 0.72 [95% CI: 0.71-0.74]; p<0.001). In conclusion, even though the simplified PESI accurately identified patients at low-risk of adverse outcomes, the original PESI classified a higher proportion of patients as low-risk and had a greater discriminatory power than the simplified PESI.

Keywords
Aged, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Predictive Value of Tests, Prognosis, Pulmonary Embolism/diagnosis, Pulmonary Embolism/mortality, Pulmonary Embolism/physiopathology, Reproducibility of Results, Risk, Sensitivity and Specificity, Severity of Illness Index, Survival Analysis
Pubmed
Create date
06/01/2017 9:38
Last modification date
20/08/2019 13:42
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