The European mesothelioma epidemic.

Détails

Ressource 1Télécharger: BIB_11643.P001.pdf (92.05 [Ko])
Etat: Serval
Version: de l'auteur
ID Serval
serval:BIB_11643
Type
Article: article d'un périodique ou d'un magazine.
Collection
Publications
Titre
The European mesothelioma epidemic.
Périodique
British Journal of Cancer
Auteur(s)
Peto J., Decarli A., La Vecchia C., Levi F., Negri E.
ISSN
0007-0920 (Print)
ISSN-L
0007-0920
Statut éditorial
Publié
Date de publication
1999
Volume
79
Numéro
3-4
Pages
666-672
Langue
anglais
Notes
Publication types: Journal Article ; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Publication Status: ppublish
Résumé
Projections for the period 1995-2029 suggest that the number of men dying from mesothelioma in Western Europe each year will almost double over the next 20 years, from 5000 in 1998 to about 9000 around 2018, and then decline, with a total of about a quarter of a million deaths over the next 35 years. The highest risk will be suffered by men born around 1945-50, of whom about 1 in 150 will die of mesothelioma. Asbestos use in Western Europe remained high until 1980, and substantial quantities are still used in several European countries. These projections are based on the fit of a simple age and birth cohort model to male pleural cancer mortality from 1970 to 1989 for six countries (Britain, France, Germany, Italy, The Netherlands and Switzerland) which together account for three-quarters of the population of Western Europe. The model was tested by comparing observed and predicted numbers of deaths for the period 1990-94. The ratio of mesothelioma to recorded pleural cancer mortality has been 1.6:1 in Britain but was assumed to be 1:1 in other countries.
Mots-clé
Adult, Aged, Asbestos/adverse effects, Disease Outbreaks/statistics & numerical data, Europe/epidemiology, Forecasting, Humans, Incidence, Male, Mesothelioma/mortality, Middle Aged, Mortality/trends, Pleural Neoplasms/mortality, Risk Assessment
Pubmed
Web of science
Open Access
Oui
Création de la notice
19/11/2007 13:02
Dernière modification de la notice
08/05/2019 14:38
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