Climate change effects on animal and plant phylogenetic diversity in southern Africa

Details

Serval ID
serval:BIB_0B94E2ED044F
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
Climate change effects on animal and plant phylogenetic diversity in southern Africa
Journal
Global Change Biology
Author(s)
Pio D.V., Engler R., Linder H.P., Monadjem A., Cotterill F.P.D., Taylor P.J., Schoeman M.C., Price B.W., Villet M.H., Eick G., Salamin N., Guisan A.
ISSN
1354-1013
ISSN-L
1365-2486
Publication state
Published
Issued date
2014
Volume
20
Number
5
Pages
1538-1549
Language
english
Abstract
Much attention has been paid to the effects of climate change on species' range reductions and extinctions. There is however surprisingly little information on how climate change driven threat may impact the tree of life and result in loss of phylogenetic diversity (PD). Some plant families and mammalian orders reveal nonrandom extinction patterns, but many other plant families do not. Do these discrepancies reflect different speciation histories and does climate induced extinction result in the same discrepancies among different groups? Answers to these questions require representative taxon sampling. Here, we combine phylogenetic analyses, species distribution modeling, and climate change projections on two of the largest plant families in the Cape Floristic Region (Proteaceae and Restionaceae), as well as the second most diverse mammalian order in Southern Africa (Chiroptera), and an herbivorous insect genus (Platypleura) in the family Cicadidae to answer this question. We model current and future species distributions to assess species threat levels over the next 70years, and then compare projected with random PD survival. Results for these animal and plant clades reveal congruence. PD losses are not significantly higher under predicted extinction than under random extinction simulations. So far the evidence suggests that focusing resources on climate threatened species alone may not result in disproportionate benefits for the preservation of evolutionary history.
Keywords
southern Africa, climate change, Cicadidae, Chiroptera, Proteaceae, phylogenetic diversity, niche models, extinction, Restionaceae, Platypleura
Web of science
Create date
23/05/2014 9:53
Last modification date
20/08/2019 13:33
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