Cause-of-death mortality: What can be learned from population dynamics?

Details

Serval ID
serval:BIB_09037EAFD3F8
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
Cause-of-death mortality: What can be learned from population dynamics?
Journal
Insurance: Mathematics and Economics
Author(s)
Boumezoued A., Hardy Labit H., El Karoui N., Arnold S.
ISSN
0167-6687
Publication state
Published
Issued date
01/2018
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
78
Pages
301-315
Language
english
Abstract
This paper analyses cause-of-death mortality changes and its impacts on the whole population evolution. The study combines cause-of-death analysis and population dynamics techniques. Our aim is to measure the impact of cause-of-death reduction on the whole population age structure, and more specifically on the dependency ratio which is a crucial quantity for pay-as-yougo pension systems. Whereas previous studies on causes of death focused on mortality indicators such as survival curves or life expectancy, our approach provides additional information by including birth patterns. As an important conclusion, our numerical results based on French data show that populations with identical life expectancies can present important differences in their age pyramid resulting from different cause-specific mortality reductions. Sensitivities to fertility level and population flows are also given.
Keywords
Cause-of-Death Mortality, Population Dynamics, Birth and Death Process, Individual-Based Model, Age Pyramid, Age Dependency Ratio, Macroscopic Behavior, Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty, Economics and Econometrics, Statistics and Probability, Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty, Economics and Econometrics, Statistics and Probability, Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty, Economics and Econometrics, Statistics and Probability, Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty, Economics and Econometrics, Statistics and Probability
Create date
28/01/2016 10:36
Last modification date
21/08/2019 5:18
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