Accurate prediction of severe allergic reactions by a small set of environmental parameters (NDVI, temperature).

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State: Public
Version: Final published version
License: CC BY 4.0
Serval ID
serval:BIB_070BFEF754B7
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Title
Accurate prediction of severe allergic reactions by a small set of environmental parameters (NDVI, temperature).
Journal
PloS one
Author(s)
Notas G., Bariotakis M., Kalogrias V., Andrianaki M., Azariadis K., Kampouri E., Theodoropoulou K., Lavrentaki K., Kastrinakis S., Kampa M., Agouridakis P., Pirintsos S., Castanas E.
ISSN
1932-6203 (Electronic)
ISSN-L
1932-6203
Publication state
Published
Issued date
2015
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
10
Number
3
Pages
e0121475
Language
english
Notes
Publication types: Journal Article
Publication Status: epublish
Abstract
Severe allergic reactions of unknown etiology,necessitating a hospital visit, have an important impact in the life of affected individuals and impose a major economic burden to societies. The prediction of clinically severe allergic reactions would be of great importance, but current attempts have been limited by the lack of a well-founded applicable methodology and the wide spatiotemporal distribution of allergic reactions. The valid prediction of severe allergies (and especially those needing hospital treatment) in a region, could alert health authorities and implicated individuals to take appropriate preemptive measures. In the present report we have collecterd visits for serious allergic reactions of unknown etiology from two major hospitals in the island of Crete, for two distinct time periods (validation and test sets). We have used the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), a satellite-based, freely available measurement, which is an indicator of live green vegetation at a given geographic area, and a set of meteorological data to develop a model capable of describing and predicting severe allergic reaction frequency. Our analysis has retained NDVI and temperature as accurate identifiers and predictors of increased hospital severe allergic reactions visits. Our approach may contribute towards the development of satellite-based modules, for the prediction of severe allergic reactions in specific, well-defined geographical areas. It could also probably be used for the prediction of other environment related diseases and conditions.
Keywords
Emergency Service, Hospital, Greece, Hospitals, University, Humans, Hypersensitivity/diagnosis, Immunoglobulin E/immunology, Models, Theoretical, Plants/adverse effects, Seasons, Temperature
Pubmed
Web of science
Open Access
Yes
Create date
13/04/2023 11:50
Last modification date
14/04/2023 6:55
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