Causes-of-Death Mortality: What Do We Know on their Dependence?

Détails

ID Serval
serval:BIB_F375202AF3DF
Type
Article: article d'un périodique ou d'un magazine.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Titre
Causes-of-Death Mortality: What Do We Know on their Dependence?
Périodique
Monograph of the Living to 100 Symposium
Auteur⸱e⸱s
Arnold-Gaille S., Sherris M.
Statut éditorial
Publié
Date de publication
01/2014
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Langue
anglais
Résumé
Over the last century, the assumption usually made was that causes of death are independent, although it is well-known that dependancies exist. Recent developments in econometrics allow, through Vector Error Correction Models (VECMs), to model multivariate dynamic systems including time dependency between economic variables. Common trends that exist between the variables may then be highlighted, the relation between these variables being represented by a long-run equilibrium relationship. In this work, VECMs are developed for causes-of-death mortality. We analyze the five main causes of death across 10 major countries representing a diversity of developed economies. The World Health Organization website provides cause-of-death information for about the last 60 years. Our analysis reveals that long-run equilibrium relationships exist between the five main causes of death, improving our understanding of the nature of dependence between these competing risks over recent years. It also highlights that countries usually had different past experience in regard to cause-of-death mortality trends, and, thus, applying results from one country to another may be misleading.
Mots-clé
Causes of death, Mortality trends, VECM, Dependence, Common trends
Création de la notice
11/09/2014 10:44
Dernière modification de la notice
21/08/2019 5:17
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