Causes-of-Death Mortality: What Do We Know on their Dependence?
Details
Serval ID
serval:BIB_F375202AF3DF
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
Causes-of-Death Mortality: What Do We Know on their Dependence?
Journal
Monograph of the Living to 100 Symposium
Publication state
Published
Issued date
01/2014
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Language
english
Abstract
Over the last century, the assumption usually made was that causes of death are independent, although it is well-known that dependancies exist. Recent developments in econometrics allow, through Vector Error Correction Models (VECMs), to model multivariate dynamic systems including time dependency between economic variables. Common trends that exist between the variables may then be highlighted, the relation between these variables being represented by a long-run equilibrium relationship. In this work, VECMs are developed for causes-of-death mortality. We analyze the five main causes of death across 10 major countries representing a diversity of developed economies. The World Health Organization website provides cause-of-death information for about the last 60 years. Our analysis reveals that long-run equilibrium relationships exist between the five main causes of death, improving our understanding of the nature of dependence between these competing risks over recent years. It also highlights that countries usually had different past experience in regard to cause-of-death mortality trends, and, thus, applying results from one country to another may be misleading.
Keywords
Causes of death, Mortality trends, VECM, Dependence, Common trends
Create date
11/09/2014 10:44
Last modification date
21/08/2019 5:17