A Search for Chaotic Behavior in Northern Hemisphere Stratospheric Variability

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Etat: Public
Version: Final published version
Licence: Non spécifiée
ID Serval
serval:BIB_D745EA9D6F00
Type
Article: article d'un périodique ou d'un magazine.
Collection
Publications
Titre
A Search for Chaotic Behavior in Northern Hemisphere Stratospheric Variability
Périodique
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences
Auteur⸱e⸱s
Badin Gualtiero, Domeisen Daniela I. V.
ISSN
0022-4928
1520-0469
Statut éditorial
Publié
Date de publication
01/04/2014
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
71
Numéro
4
Pages
1494-1507
Langue
anglais
Résumé
Northern Hemisphere stratospheric variability is investigated with respect to chaotic behavior using time series from three different variables extracted from four different reanalysis products and two numerical model runs with different forcing. The time series show red spectra at all frequencies and the probability distribution functions show persistent deviations from a Gaussian distribution. An exception is given by the numerical model forced with perpetual winter conditions—a case that shows more variability and follows a Gaussian distribution, suggesting that the deviation from Gaussianity found in the observations is due to the transition between summer and winter variability. To search for the presence of a chaotic attractor the correlation dimension and entropy, the Lyapunov spectrum, and the associated Kaplan–Yorke dimension are estimated. A finite value of the dimensions can be computed for each variable and data product, with the correlation dimension ranging between 3.0 and 4.0 and the Kaplan–Yorke dimension between 3.3 and 5.5. The correlation entropy varies between 0.6 and 1.1. The model runs show similar values for the correlation and Lyapunov dimensions for both the seasonally forced run and the perpetual-winter run, suggesting that the structure of a possible chaotic attractor is not determined by the seasonality in the forcing, but must be given by other mechanisms.
Mots-clé
Stratospheric circulation, Time series, Interannual variability
Web of science
Création de la notice
08/03/2022 14:13
Dernière modification de la notice
14/11/2024 13:54
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