Simulation of Alcohol Control Policies for Health Equity (SIMAH) Project: Study Design and First Results.

Détails

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Etat: Public
Version: Final published version
Licence: CC BY 4.0
ID Serval
serval:BIB_BE7000D041A1
Type
Article: article d'un périodique ou d'un magazine.
Collection
Publications
Titre
Simulation of Alcohol Control Policies for Health Equity (SIMAH) Project: Study Design and First Results.
Périodique
American journal of epidemiology
Auteur⸱e⸱s
Probst C., Buckley C., Lasserre A.M., Kerr W.C., Mulia N., Puka K., Purshouse R.C., Ye Y., Rehm J.
ISSN
1476-6256 (Electronic)
ISSN-L
0002-9262
Statut éditorial
Publié
Date de publication
05/05/2023
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
192
Numéro
5
Pages
690-702
Langue
anglais
Notes
Publication types: Journal Article ; Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
Publication Status: ppublish
Résumé
Since about 2010, life expectancy at birth in the United States has stagnated and begun to decline, with concurrent increases in the socioeconomic divide in life expectancy. The Simulation of Alcohol Control Policies for Health Equity (SIMAH) Project uses a novel microsimulation approach to investigate the extent to which alcohol use, socioeconomic status (SES), and race/ethnicity contribute to unequal developments in US life expectancy and how alcohol control interventions could reduce such inequalities. Representative, secondary data from several sources will be integrated into one coherent, dynamic microsimulation to model life-course changes in SES and alcohol use and cause-specific mortality attributable to alcohol use by SES, race/ethnicity, age, and sex. Markov models will be used to inform transition intensities between levels of SES and drinking patterns. The model will be used to compare a baseline scenario with multiple counterfactual intervention scenarios. The preliminary results indicate that the crucial microsimulation component provides a good fit to observed demographic changes in the population, providing a robust baseline model for further simulation work. By demonstrating the feasibility of this novel approach, the SIMAH Project promises to offer superior integration of relevant empirical evidence to inform public health policy for a more equitable future.
Mots-clé
Humans, Infant, Newborn, Computer Simulation, Health Equity, Life Expectancy, Public Policy, Social Class, Socioeconomic Factors, United States/epidemiology, alcohol policy, alcohol use, health equity, health policy, life expectancy, microsimulation, population health modeling, socioeconomic status
Pubmed
Web of science
Création de la notice
13/10/2023 9:57
Dernière modification de la notice
14/10/2023 6:07
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