Simulation of Alcohol Control Policies for Health Equity (SIMAH) Project: Study Design and First Results.

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Version: Final published version
License: CC BY 4.0
Serval ID
serval:BIB_BE7000D041A1
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Title
Simulation of Alcohol Control Policies for Health Equity (SIMAH) Project: Study Design and First Results.
Journal
American journal of epidemiology
Author(s)
Probst C., Buckley C., Lasserre A.M., Kerr W.C., Mulia N., Puka K., Purshouse R.C., Ye Y., Rehm J.
ISSN
1476-6256 (Electronic)
ISSN-L
0002-9262
Publication state
Published
Issued date
05/05/2023
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
192
Number
5
Pages
690-702
Language
english
Notes
Publication types: Journal Article ; Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
Publication Status: ppublish
Abstract
Since about 2010, life expectancy at birth in the United States has stagnated and begun to decline, with concurrent increases in the socioeconomic divide in life expectancy. The Simulation of Alcohol Control Policies for Health Equity (SIMAH) Project uses a novel microsimulation approach to investigate the extent to which alcohol use, socioeconomic status (SES), and race/ethnicity contribute to unequal developments in US life expectancy and how alcohol control interventions could reduce such inequalities. Representative, secondary data from several sources will be integrated into one coherent, dynamic microsimulation to model life-course changes in SES and alcohol use and cause-specific mortality attributable to alcohol use by SES, race/ethnicity, age, and sex. Markov models will be used to inform transition intensities between levels of SES and drinking patterns. The model will be used to compare a baseline scenario with multiple counterfactual intervention scenarios. The preliminary results indicate that the crucial microsimulation component provides a good fit to observed demographic changes in the population, providing a robust baseline model for further simulation work. By demonstrating the feasibility of this novel approach, the SIMAH Project promises to offer superior integration of relevant empirical evidence to inform public health policy for a more equitable future.
Keywords
Humans, Infant, Newborn, Computer Simulation, Health Equity, Life Expectancy, Public Policy, Social Class, Socioeconomic Factors, United States/epidemiology, alcohol policy, alcohol use, health equity, health policy, life expectancy, microsimulation, population health modeling, socioeconomic status
Pubmed
Web of science
Create date
13/10/2023 10:57
Last modification date
14/10/2023 7:07
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