German Voters in Times of Crisis : The Impact of Perceptions and Economic Context on Electoral Behaviour
Détails
ID Serval
serval:BIB_95FBE62ADECA
Type
Article: article d'un périodique ou d'un magazine.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Titre
German Voters in Times of Crisis : The Impact of Perceptions and Economic Context on Electoral Behaviour
Périodique
German Politics
ISSN
0964-4008 (Print)
1743-8993 (Online)
1743-8993 (Online)
Statut éditorial
Publié
Date de publication
03/07/2017
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
26
Numéro
3
Pages
414-439
Langue
anglais
Résumé
This paper analyses the connection between economic context, voters’ individual assessment of the economy, and party identification, taking the German national elections of 2009 as an example. Based on the results of multinomial and multilevel regression models, the article shows that partisanship moderates how the economy affects the vote. In cases of increasing unemployment in the constituency, voters are less likely to vote for the Social Democrats instead of the CDU and the opposition. This effect is particularly strong amongst voters who report that they identify with the Social Democrats. Regarding the effect of voters’ assessment of the national economy, the results are different. In this case, a better evaluation of the regional economy increases the probability to vote for right-wing parties – notably amongst voters without partisanship. These findings suggest that the moderating effect of partisanship on the economy’s impact on voting behaviour should not be overestimated. What is more, this analysis implies that research on economic voting should always account for both contextual factors and voters’ personal assessment of the economy, as these measures reveal different dimensions of economic voting.
Mots-clé
Political Science and International Relations, Sociology and Political Science
Site de l'éditeur
Création de la notice
04/10/2017 17:17
Dernière modification de la notice
20/08/2019 14:58