Overconfidence

Détails

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Etat: Public
Version: de l'auteur⸱e
ID Serval
serval:BIB_7CE431A213E1
Type
Partie de livre
Sous-type
Chapitre: chapitre ou section
Collection
Publications
Institution
Titre
Overconfidence
Titre du livre
Cognitive illusions: Intriguing phenomena in thinking, judgement, and memory
Auteur⸱e⸱s
Hoffrage U.
Editeur
Psychology Press
Lieu d'édition
Hove, UK
Statut éditorial
Publié
Date de publication
2016
Editeur⸱rice scientifique
Pohl R. F.
Pages
291-314
Langue
anglais
Résumé
Overconfidence occurs if our confidences related to our judgments, inferences, or predictions are too high when compared to the corresponding accuracy. For the current review, I commence with (1) a brief overview of the three most frequently used tasks and measures, then (2) present classroom demonstrations, (3) summarize some major findings, (4) introduce and evaluate models and theoretical accounts, (5) discuss the functional value of overconfidence, (6) briefly mention its relevance in applied settings, and (7) conclude with some final remarks, a summary, and a list of further literature.
Mots-clé
Overconfidence, Overplacement, Overprecision, Calibration, Expertise, Hard-Easy Effect, Probabilistic Mental Models, Representative Design, Senory Discrimination, Finance, Trading, CEOs, Entrepreneurship, Market Entry
Création de la notice
23/05/2016 13:42
Dernière modification de la notice
20/08/2019 15:38
Données d'usage