Transitioning towards a 100% solar-hydro based generation: A system dynamic approach

Détails

Ressource 1Télécharger: 1-s2.0-S0360544221026098-main.pdf (1989.31 [Ko])
Etat: Public
Version: Final published version
Licence: CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
ID Serval
serval:BIB_50627D25C5D2
Type
Article: article d'un périodique ou d'un magazine.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Titre
Transitioning towards a 100% solar-hydro based generation: A system dynamic approach
Périodique
Energy
Auteur⸱e⸱s
Martínez-Jaramillo Juan Esteban, van Ackere Ann, Larsen Erik R.
ISSN
0360-5442
Statut éditorial
Publié
Date de publication
01/2022
Volume
239
Pages
122360
Langue
anglais
Résumé
Many countries have targeted a gradual transition towards 100% green generation; however, there is uncertainty concerning the economic and social consequences of such a transition. The main technologies that have been implemented are hydro, wind and solar. The latter two could cause an increase in electricity prices due to a mismatch between demand and supply. This paper uses a system dynamics approach to analyze the transition process of Switzerland, which is gradually moving from nuclear towards solar and hydro base generation. We consider hydro-pumped storage to address the timing problem between supply and demand. We developed different scenarios to test the viability of such a system. Our findings indicate that leaving the system to a free market will entail shortages during the transition, as well as a doubling of the electricity price. To mitigate this effect, we propose a capacity auction mechanism to smooth the transition process. We find that subsidizing PV indirectly encourages storage, thereby eliminating shortages, and mitigating the increase in the electricity price during the transition.
Mots-clé
Energy transition, Pumped hydro-storage, System dynamics, Energy policy, Renewables
Web of science
Open Access
Oui
Financement(s)
Fonds national suisse / 100018_169376
Création de la notice
28/10/2021 15:27
Dernière modification de la notice
02/03/2022 8:09
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