To Invest or Not To Invest: An Economic Demonstration of Buridan's Ass

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Etat: Public
Version: de l'auteur⸱e
ID Serval
serval:BIB_2CD0EC1A46F5
Type
Non publié: un document ayant un auteur et un titre, mais non publié.
Collection
Publications
Titre
To Invest or Not To Invest: An Economic Demonstration of Buridan's Ass
Auteur⸱e⸱s
Bobtcheff Catherine, Stéphane Villeneuve
Date de publication
2007
Notes
Cahier du LERNA 06.20.213. Submitted for publication
Résumé
We analyze a model of irreversible investment with two sources of uncertainty. A risk-neutral decision maker has the choice between two mutually exclusive projects under input price and output price uncertainty. We propose a complete study of the shape of the rational investment region and we prove that it is never optimal to invest when the alternative investments generate the same payoff independently of their size. A key feature of this bidimensional degree of uncertainty is thus that the payoff generated by each project is not a sufficient statistic to make a rational investment. In this context, our analysis provides a new motive for waiting to invest: the benefits associated with the dominance of one project over the other. As an illustration, we apply our methodology to power generation under uncertainty.
Mots-clé
K3
Création de la notice
19/11/2007 10:57
Dernière modification de la notice
20/08/2019 14:11
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