Non-parametric estimation of intraday spot volatility: disentangling instantaneous trend and seasonality

Détails

ID Serval
serval:BIB_207EDE5227A1
Type
Article: article d'un périodique ou d'un magazine.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Titre
Non-parametric estimation of intraday spot volatility: disentangling instantaneous trend and seasonality
Périodique
Econometrics
Auteur⸱e⸱s
Vatter T., Wu H.-T., Chavez-Demoulin V., Yu B.
ISSN
2225-1146
Statut éditorial
Publié
Date de publication
12/2015
Volume
3
Numéro
4
Pages
864-887
Langue
anglais
Résumé
We provide a new framework for modeling trends and periodic patterns in high-frequency financial data. Seeking adaptivity to ever-changing market conditions, we enlarge the Fourier flexible form into a richer functional class: both our smooth trend and the seasonality are non-parametrically time-varying and evolve in real time. We provide the associated estimators and use simulations to show that they behave adequately in the presence of jumps and heteroskedastic and heavy-tailed noise. A study of exchange rate returns sampled from 2010 to 2013 suggests that failing to factor in the seasonality's dynamic properties may lead to misestimation of the intraday spot volatility.
Mots-clé
intraday spot volatility, seasonality, foreign exchange returns, time-frequency analysis, synchrosqueezing
Open Access
Oui
Création de la notice
01/12/2015 11:26
Dernière modification de la notice
20/08/2019 12:56
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