Climate-invariant machine learning.

Details

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State: Public
Version: Final published version
License: CC BY-NC 4.0
Serval ID
serval:BIB_E422A7BB1B25
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
Climate-invariant machine learning.
Journal
Science advances
Author(s)
Beucler T., Gentine P., Yuval J., Gupta A., Peng L., Lin J., Yu S., Rasp S., Ahmed F., O'Gorman P.A., Neelin J.D., Lutsko N.J., Pritchard M.
ISSN
2375-2548 (Electronic)
ISSN-L
2375-2548
Publication state
Published
Issued date
09/02/2024
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
10
Number
6
Pages
eadj7250
Language
english
Notes
Publication types: Journal Article
Publication Status: ppublish
Abstract
Projecting climate change is a generalization problem: We extrapolate the recent past using physical models across past, present, and future climates. Current climate models require representations of processes that occur at scales smaller than model grid size, which have been the main source of model projection uncertainty. Recent machine learning (ML) algorithms hold promise to improve such process representations but tend to extrapolate poorly to climate regimes that they were not trained on. To get the best of the physical and statistical worlds, we propose a framework, termed "climate-invariant" ML, incorporating knowledge of climate processes into ML algorithms, and show that it can maintain high offline accuracy across a wide range of climate conditions and configurations in three distinct atmospheric models. Our results suggest that explicitly incorporating physical knowledge into data-driven models of Earth system processes can improve their consistency, data efficiency, and generalizability across climate regimes.
Pubmed
Open Access
Yes
Create date
12/02/2024 11:22
Last modification date
21/08/2024 6:35
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