Surrogate science: The idol of a universal method for scientific inference

Details

Serval ID
serval:BIB_8A4ACE889EC3
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
Surrogate science: The idol of a universal method for scientific inference
Journal
Journal of Management
Author(s)
Gigerenzer G., Marewski J. N.
ISSN
0149-2063
Publication state
Published
Issued date
02/2015
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
41
Number
2
Pages
421-440
Language
english
Abstract
The application of statistics to science is not a neutral act. Statistical tools have shaped and were also shaped by its objects. In the social sciences, statistical methods fundamentally changed research practice, making statistical inference its centerpiece. At the same time, textbook writers in the social sciences have transformed rivaling statistical systems into an apparently monolithic method that could be used mechanically. The idol of a universal method for scientific inference has been worshipped since the "inference revolution" of the 1950s. Because no such method has ever been found, surrogates have been created, most notably the quest for significant p values. This form of surrogate science fosters delusions and borderline cheating and has done much harm, creating, for one, a flood of irreproducible results. Proponents of the "Bayesian revolution" should be wary of chasing yet another chimera: an apparently universal inference procedure. A better path would be to promote both an understanding of the various devices in the "statistical toolbox" and informed judgment to select among these.
Keywords
Research methods, Regression analysis, Psychometrics, Bayesian methods
Web of science
Publisher's website
Create date
28/07/2014 15:06
Last modification date
20/08/2019 15:49
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