Safety Traps
Details
Download: BIB_7CF47793CCCD.P001.pdf (527.70 [Ko])
State: Public
Version: author
State: Public
Version: author
Serval ID
serval:BIB_7CF47793CCCD
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
Safety Traps
Journal
American Economic Journal. Macroeconomics
ISSN
1945-7707
Publication state
Published
Issued date
10/2013
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
5
Number
4
Pages
68-106
Language
english
Abstract
Fear of risk provides a rationale for protracted economic downturns. We develop a real business cycle model where investors with decreasing relative risk aversion choose between a risky and a safe technology that exhibit decreasing returns. Because of a feedback effect from the interest rate to risk aversion, two equilibria can emerge: a standard equilibrium and a "safe" one in which investors invest in safer assets. We refer to the dynamics of this second equilibrium as a safety trap because it is self-reinforcing as investors accumulate more wealth and show it to be consistent with Japan's lost decade.
Keywords
decreasing relative risk aversion, reference consumption, business cycles, Japan's lost decade
Web of science
Publisher's website
Create date
13/08/2012 16:17
Last modification date
20/08/2019 14:38