serval:BIB_C554AFB14C75
Association of major and minor ECG abnormalities with coronary heart disease events.
10.1001/jama.2012.434
000302538100023
22496264
Auer
R.
author
Bauer
D.C.
author
Marques-Vidal
P.
author
Butler
J.
author
Min
L.J.
author
Cornuz
J.
author
Satterfield
S.
author
Newman
A.B.
author
Vittinghoff
E.
author
Rodondi
N.
author
Health ABC Study
contributor
Newman
AB.
contributor
Kost
P.
contributor
Ives
D.
contributor
Satterfield
S.
contributor
Tylavsky
FA.
contributor
Elam
J.
contributor
Kritchevsky
SB.
contributor
Cummings
SR.
contributor
Nevitt
MC.
contributor
Rubin
SM.
contributor
Harris
TB.
contributor
Garcia
ME.
contributor
article
2012
Jama
1538-3598
0098-7484
journal
307
14
1497-1505
CONTEXT: In populations of older adults, prediction of coronary heart disease (CHD) events through traditional risk factors is less accurate than in middle-aged adults. Electrocardiographic (ECG) abnormalities are common in older adults and might be of value for CHD prediction.
OBJECTIVE: To determine whether baseline ECG abnormalities or development of new and persistent ECG abnormalities are associated with increased CHD events.
DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: A population-based study of 2192 white and black older adults aged 70 to 79 years from the Health, Aging, and Body Composition Study (Health ABC Study) without known cardiovascular disease. Adjudicated CHD events were collected over 8 years between 1997-1998 and 2006-2007. Baseline and 4-year ECG abnormalities were classified according to the Minnesota Code as major and minor. Using Cox proportional hazards regression models, the addition of ECG abnormalities to traditional risk factors were examined to predict CHD events.
MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Adjudicated CHD events (acute myocardial infarction [MI], CHD death, and hospitalization for angina or coronary revascularization).
RESULTS: At baseline, 276 participants (13%) had minor and 506 (23%) had major ECG abnormalities. During follow-up, 351 participants had CHD events (96 CHD deaths, 101 acute MIs, and 154 hospitalizations for angina or coronary revascularizations). Both baseline minor and major ECG abnormalities were associated with an increased risk of CHD after adjustment for traditional risk factors (17.2 per 1000 person-years among those with no abnormalities; 29.3 per 1000 person-years; hazard ratio [HR], 1.35; 95% CI, 1.02-1.81; for minor abnormalities; and 31.6 per 1000 person-years; HR, 1.51; 95% CI, 1.20-1.90; for major abnormalities). When ECG abnormalities were added to a model containing traditional risk factors alone, 13.6% of intermediate-risk participants with both major and minor ECG abnormalities were correctly reclassified (overall net reclassification improvement [NRI], 7.4%; 95% CI, 3.1%-19.0%; integrated discrimination improvement, 0.99%; 95% CI, 0.32%-2.15%). After 4 years, 208 participants had new and 416 had persistent abnormalities. Both new and persistent ECG abnormalities were associated with an increased risk of subsequent CHD events (HR, 2.01; 95% CI, 1.33-3.02; and HR, 1.66; 95% CI, 1.18-2.34; respectively). When added to the Framingham Risk Score, the NRI was not significant (5.7%; 95% CI, -0.4% to 11.8%).
CONCLUSIONS: Major and minor ECG abnormalities among older adults were associated with an increased risk of CHD events. Depending on the model, adding ECG abnormalities was associated with improved risk prediction beyond traditional risk factors.
Aged
Coronary Disease/epidemiology
Electrocardiography/classification
Female
Humans
Longitudinal Studies
Male
Pennsylvania/epidemiology
Predictive Value of Tests
Prognosis
Risk Factors
Tennessee/epidemiology
eng
60_published
true
peer-reviewed
Publication types: Journal Article ; Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural ; Research Support, N.I.H., Intramural ; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't ; Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.
Publication Status: ppublish
University of Lausanne
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