Impact of petrophysical uncertainty on Bayesian hydrogeophysical inversion and model selection

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Serval ID
serval:BIB_C244D2F4E8A3
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
Impact of petrophysical uncertainty on Bayesian hydrogeophysical inversion and model selection
Journal
Advances in Water Resources
Author(s)
Brunetti C., Linde N.
ISSN
0309-1708
Publication state
Published
Issued date
2018
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
111
Pages
346-359
Language
english
Abstract
Quantitative hydrogeophysical studies rely heavily on petrophysical relationships that link geophysical properties to hydrogeological properties and state variables. Coupled inversion studies are frequently based on the questionable assumption that these relationships are perfect (i.e., no scatter). Using synthetic examples and crosshole ground-penetrating radar (GPR) data from the South Oyster Bacterial Transport Site in Virginia, USA, we investigate the impact of spatially-correlated petrophysical uncertainty on inferred posterior porosity and hydraulic conductivity distributions and on Bayes factors used in Bayesian model selection. Our study shows that accounting for petrophysical uncertainty in the inversion (I) decreases bias of the inferred variance of hydrogeological subsurface properties, (II) provides more realistic uncertainty assessment and (III) reduces the overconfidence in the ability of geophysical data to falsify conceptual hydrogeological models.
Keywords
Water Science and Technology
Web of science
Publisher's website
Create date
19/12/2018 17:48
Last modification date
20/08/2019 16:37
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