Modeling the biophysical impacts of global change in mountain biosphere reserves

Details

Serval ID
serval:BIB_5D7A147A9160
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
Modeling the biophysical impacts of global change in mountain biosphere reserves
Journal
Mountain Research and Development
Author(s)
Bugmann H., Gurung A. B., Ewert F., Haeberli W., Guisan A., Fagre D., Kaab A.
ISSN
0276-4741
Publication state
Published
Issued date
2007
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
27
Number
1
Pages
66-77
Language
english
Abstract
Mountains and mountain societies provide a wide range of goods and services to humanity, but they are particularly sensitive to the effects of global environmental change. Thus, the definition of appropriate management regimes that maintain the multiple functions of mountain regions in a time of greatly changing climatic, economic, and societal drivers constitutes a significant challenge. Management decisions must be based on a sound understanding of the future dynamics of these systems. The present article reviews the elements required for an integrated effort to project the impacts of global change on mountain regions, and recommends tools that can be used at 3 scientific levels (essential, improved, and optimum). The proposed strategy is evaluated with respect to UNESCO's network of Mountain Biosphere Reserves (MBRs), with the intention of implementing it in other mountain regions as well. First, methods for generating scenarios of key drivers of global change are reviewed, including land use/land cover and climate change. This is followed by a brief review of the models available for projecting the impacts of these scenarios on (1) cryospheric systems, (2) ecosystem structure and diversity, and (3) ecosystem functions such as carbon and water relations. Finally, the cross-cutting role of remote sensing techniques is evaluated with respect to both monitoring and modeling efforts. We conclude that a broad range of techniques is available for both scenario generation and impact assessments, many of which can be implemented without much capacity building across many or even most MBRs. However, to foster implementation of the proposed strategy, further efforts are required to establish partnerships between scientists and resource managers in mountain areas.
Keywords
biodiversity, climate change, cryosphere, impact assessment, land cover, land use, remote sensing
Web of science
Create date
24/01/2008 20:06
Last modification date
20/08/2019 15:15
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