How robust are global conservation priorities to climate change?

Details

Serval ID
serval:BIB_4F2466ED2B2F
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
How robust are global conservation priorities to climate change?
Journal
Global Environmental Change
Author(s)
Iwamura T., Guisan A., Wilson K.A., Possingham H.P., Possingham P
ISSN
0959-3780
Publication state
Published
Issued date
2013
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
23
Number
5
Pages
1277-1284
Language
english
Abstract
International conservation organisations have identified priority areas for biodiversity conservation. These global-scale prioritisations affect the distribution of funds for conservation interventions. As each organisation has a different focus, each prioritisation scheme is determined by different decision criteria and the resultant priority areas vary considerably. However, little is known about how the priority areas will respond to the impacts of climate change. In this paper, we examined the robustness of eight global-scale prioritisations to climate change under various climate predictions from seven global circulation models. We developed a novel metric of the climate stability for 803 ecoregions based on a recently introduced method to estimate the overlap of climate envelopes. The relationships between the decision criteria and the robustness of the global prioritisation schemes were statistically examined. We found that decision criteria related to level of endemism and landscape fragmentation were strongly correlated with areas predicted to be robust to a changing climate. Hence, policies that prioritise intact areas due to the likely cost efficiency, and assumptions related to the potential to mitigate the impacts of climate change, require further examination. Our findings will help determine where additional management is required to enable biodiversity to adapt to the impacts of climate change
Keywords
International biodiversity conservation, Biodiversity hotspots, Climate change, Terrestrial ecoregions, Climate envelopes, Climate stability index
Web of science
Create date
10/07/2013 8:21
Last modification date
20/08/2019 15:04
Usage data