African Regional Agreements: Impact on Trade with or without Currency Unions

Details

Serval ID
serval:BIB_4281B986422C
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Title
African Regional Agreements: Impact on Trade with or without Currency Unions
Journal
Journal of African Economies
Author(s)
Carrère  C.
Publication state
Published
Issued date
2004
Volume
13
Number
2
Abstract
The aim of this paper is (i) to assess the impact of regional agreements on members’ trade in Sub-Saharan Africa (intra-regional trade as well as trade with the rest of the world), controlling for the other traditional determinants and (ii) to compare the respective effect of the preferential trade agreements and the currency unions. Considering the period 1962–96, we first assess the average impact of each regional agreement on their implementation period and second we show how these impacts have evolved. An ‘augmented’ gravity model is designed, relying on a transport cost function, in which specific dummies allow trade creation and trade diversion effects to be separated. The model is estimated in panel with bilateral specific effects, to isolate the non-observable characteristics of each pair of countries and according to the Hausman–Taylor (1981) method, which takes into account a possible endogeneity of some explanatory variables. During their implementation, the African regional trade agreements have generated a significant increase in trade between members, although initially often through trade diversion. In the two agreements of the CFA franc zone, the currency unions have largely reinforced the positive effect of the corresponding preferential trade agreements on intra-regional trade, while dampening their trade diversion effect.
Keywords
Saharan Africa, regional agreement, currency union, gravity equation, panel data
Create date
19/11/2007 11:22
Last modification date
20/08/2019 14:45
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