Three methods to calculate the probability of ruin

Détails

ID Serval
serval:BIB_F9E4C45878CB
Type
Article: article d'un périodique ou d'un magazine.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Titre
Three methods to calculate the probability of ruin
Périodique
ASTIN Bulletin
Auteur⸱e⸱s
Dufresne F., Gerber H.U.
ISSN
0515-0361
Statut éditorial
Publié
Date de publication
1989
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
19
Numéro
1
Pages
71-90
Langue
anglais
Résumé
The first method, essentmlly due to GOOVAERTS and DE VYLDER, uses the connection between the probabiliy of ruin and the maximal aggregate loss random variable, and the fact that the latter has a compound geometric distribution. For the second method, the claim amount distribution is supposed to be a combination of exponential or translated exponential distributions. Then the probability of ruin can be calculated in a transparent fashion; the main problem is to determine the nontrivial roots of the equation that defines the adjustment coefficient. For the third method one observes that the probability of ruin is related to the stationary distribution of a certain associated process. Thus it can be determined by a single simulation of the latter. For the second and third methods the assumption of only proper (positive) claims is not needed.
Mots-clé
Probability of ruin, discretizatlon, combination of exponentials, simulation
Création de la notice
19/11/2007 11:55
Dernière modification de la notice
20/08/2019 17:25
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