Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Ecosystem Services in Europe: the Case of Pest Control by Vertebrates. BioScience.

Détails

ID Serval
serval:BIB_EFABBF112C3E
Type
Article: article d'un périodique ou d'un magazine.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Titre
Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Ecosystem Services in Europe: the Case of Pest Control by Vertebrates. BioScience.
Périodique
BioScience
Auteur⸱e⸱s
Civantos E., Thuiller W., Maiorano L., Guisan A., Araujo M.B.
ISSN
0006-3568
Statut éditorial
Publié
Date de publication
2012
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
62
Numéro
7
Pages
658-666
Langue
anglais
Résumé
Global environmental changes threaten ecosystems and cause significant alterations to the supply of ecosystem services that are vital for human well-being. We provide an assessment of the potential impacts of climate change on European diversity of vertebrates and their associated pest control services. We modeled the distributions of the species that provide this service using ensembles of forecasts from bioclimatic envelope models and then used their results to generate maps of potential species richness among vertebrate providers of pest control services. We assessed how potential richness of pest control providers would change according to different climate and greenhouse emissions scenarios. We found that potential richness of pest control providers was likely to face substantial reductions, especially in southern European countries that had economies highly dependent on agricultural yields. In much of central and northern Europe, where countries had their economies less dependent on agriculture, climate change was likely to benefit pest control providers
Mots-clé
Biodiversity, Ensemble forecasting, Service-providing units, Species distribution models
Web of science
Open Access
Oui
Création de la notice
22/02/2012 13:33
Dernière modification de la notice
20/08/2019 17:17
Données d'usage