Use of niche models in invasive species risk assessments.

Détails

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Accès restreint UNIL
Etat: Public
Version: Final published version
ID Serval
serval:BIB_E45608E0AFEA
Type
Article: article d'un périodique ou d'un magazine.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Titre
Use of niche models in invasive species risk assessments.
Périodique
Biological Invasions
Auteur⸱e⸱s
Jiménez-Valverde A., Peterson A.T., Soberón J., Overton J.M., Aragón P., Lobo J.M.
ISSN
1387-3547
Statut éditorial
Publié
Date de publication
2011
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
13
Numéro
12
Pages
2785-2797
Langue
anglais
Résumé
Risk maps summarizing landscape suitability of novel areas for invading species can be valuable tools for preventing species' invasions or controlling their spread, but methods employed for development of such maps remain variable and unstandardized. We discuss several considerations in development of such models, including types of distributional information that should be used, the nature of explanatory variables that should be incorporated, and caveats regarding model testing and evaluation. We highlight that, in the case of invasive species, such distributional predictions should aim to derive the best hypothesis of the potential distribution of the species by using (1) all distributional information available, including information from both the native range and other invaded regions; (2) predictors linked as directly as is feasible to the physiological requirements of the species; and (3) modelling procedures that carefully avoid overfitting to the training data. Finally, model testing and evaluation should focus on well-predicted presences, and less on efficient prediction of absences; a k-fold regional cross-validation test is discussed.
Mots-clé
Biological invasions, Model validation, Occurrence data, Potential distribution models
Web of science
Création de la notice
02/03/2012 17:24
Dernière modification de la notice
20/08/2019 17:07
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