Inferring epidemic contact structure from phylogenetic trees.

Détails

Ressource 1Télécharger: BIB_BAAFB38A1551.P001.pdf (1189.55 [Ko])
Etat: Public
Version: de l'auteur⸱e
ID Serval
serval:BIB_BAAFB38A1551
Type
Article: article d'un périodique ou d'un magazine.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Titre
Inferring epidemic contact structure from phylogenetic trees.
Périodique
Plos Computational Biology
Auteur⸱e⸱s
Leventhal G.E., Kouyos R., Stadler T., von Wyl V., Yerly S., Böni J., Cellerai C., Klimkait T., Günthard H.F., Bonhoeffer S.
ISSN
1553-7358 (Electronic)
ISSN-L
1553-734X
Statut éditorial
Publié
Date de publication
2012
Volume
8
Numéro
3
Pages
e1002413
Langue
anglais
Notes
Publication types: Journal ArticlePublication Status: ppublish
Résumé
Contact structure is believed to have a large impact on epidemic spreading and consequently using networks to model such contact structure continues to gain interest in epidemiology. However, detailed knowledge of the exact contact structure underlying real epidemics is limited. Here we address the question whether the structure of the contact network leaves a detectable genetic fingerprint in the pathogen population. To this end we compare phylogenies generated by disease outbreaks in simulated populations with different types of contact networks. We find that the shape of these phylogenies strongly depends on contact structure. In particular, measures of tree imbalance allow us to quantify to what extent the contact structure underlying an epidemic deviates from a null model contact network and illustrate this in the case of random mixing. Using a phylogeny from the Swiss HIV epidemic, we show that this epidemic has a significantly more unbalanced tree than would be expected from random mixing.
Pubmed
Web of science
Open Access
Oui
Création de la notice
26/03/2012 0:04
Dernière modification de la notice
20/08/2019 16:28
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