An evidential support accumulation model of subjective probability

Détails

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Etat: Public
Version: de l'auteur⸱e
ID Serval
serval:BIB_AC0885FEDD87
Type
Article: article d'un périodique ou d'un magazine.
Collection
Publications
Titre
An evidential support accumulation model of subjective probability
Périodique
Cognitive Psychology
Auteur⸱e⸱s
Koehler  D. J., White  C. M., Grondin  R.
Statut éditorial
Publié
Date de publication
2003
Volume
46
Pages
152-197
Résumé
A model of cue-based probability judgment is developed within the framework of support theory. Cue diagnosticity is evaluated from experience as represented by error-free frequency counts. When presented with a pattern of cues, the diagnostic implications of each cue are assessed independently and then summed to arrive at an assessment of the support for a hypothesis, with greater weight placed on present than on absent cues. The model can also accommodate adjustment of support in light of the baserate or prior probability of a hypothesis. Support for alternatives packed together in a ''residual'' hypothesis is discounted; fewer cues are consulted in assessing support for alternatives as support for the focal hypothesis increases. Results of fitting this and several alternative models to data from four new multiple-cue probability learning experiments are reported.
Mots-clé
Evidence evaluation, Subjective probability, Multiple-cue probability learning, Support theory, Bayesian reasoning
Création de la notice
03/12/2007 11:51
Dernière modification de la notice
20/08/2019 16:16
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