Impacts of climate change on the future of biodiversity.

Détails

ID Serval
serval:BIB_AB8EB95EF9A1
Type
Article: article d'un périodique ou d'un magazine.
Sous-type
Synthèse (review): revue aussi complète que possible des connaissances sur un sujet, rédigée à partir de l'analyse exhaustive des travaux publiés.
Collection
Publications
Titre
Impacts of climate change on the future of biodiversity.
Périodique
Ecology letters
Auteur⸱e⸱s
Bellard C., Bertelsmeier C., Leadley P., Thuiller W., Courchamp F.
ISSN
1461-0248 (Electronic)
ISSN-L
1461-023X
Statut éditorial
Publié
Date de publication
04/2012
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
15
Numéro
4
Pages
365-377
Langue
anglais
Notes
Publication types: Journal Article ; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't ; Review
Publication Status: ppublish
Résumé
Many studies in recent years have investigated the effects of climate change on the future of biodiversity. In this review, we first examine the different possible effects of climate change that can operate at individual, population, species, community, ecosystem and biome scales, notably showing that species can respond to climate change challenges by shifting their climatic niche along three non-exclusive axes: time (e.g. phenology), space (e.g. range) and self (e.g. physiology). Then, we present the principal specificities and caveats of the most common approaches used to estimate future biodiversity at global and sub-continental scales and we synthesise their results. Finally, we highlight several challenges for future research both in theoretical and applied realms. Overall, our review shows that current estimates are very variable, depending on the method, taxonomic group, biodiversity loss metrics, spatial scales and time periods considered. Yet, the majority of models indicate alarming consequences for biodiversity, with the worst-case scenarios leading to extinction rates that would qualify as the sixth mass extinction in the history of the earth.
Mots-clé
Biodiversity, Climate Change, Conservation of Natural Resources, Ecosystem, Models, Theoretical, Population Dynamics, climate change, species extinctions
Pubmed
Web of science
Création de la notice
26/06/2015 8:21
Dernière modification de la notice
27/07/2023 15:58
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