Space-time clustering analysis of wildfires: The influence of dataset characteristics, fire prevention policy decisions, weather and climate

Détails

ID Serval
serval:BIB_A246AABE8AA1
Type
Article: article d'un périodique ou d'un magazine.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Titre
Space-time clustering analysis of wildfires: The influence of dataset characteristics, fire prevention policy decisions, weather and climate
Périodique
Science of The Total Environment
Auteur⸱e⸱s
Parente Joana, Pereira Mário G., Tonini Marj
ISSN
0048-9697 (Print)
Statut éditorial
Publié
Date de publication
2016
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
559
Pages
151-165
Langue
anglais
Résumé
The present study focuses on the dependence of the space-time permutation scan statistics (STPSS) (1) on the input database's characteristics and (2) on the use of this methodology to assess changes on the fire regime due to different type of climate and fire management activities. Based on the very strong relationship between weather and the fire incidence in Portugal, the detected clusters will be interpreted in terms of the atmospheric conditions. Apart from being the country most affected by the fires in the European context, Portugal meets all the conditions required to carry out this study, namely: (i) two long and comprehensive official datasets, i.e. the Portuguese Rural Fire Database (PRFD) and the National Mapping Burnt Areas (NMBA), respectively based on ground and satellite measurements; (ii) the two types of climate (Csb in the north and Csa in the south) that characterizes the Mediterranean basin regions most affected by the fires also divide the mainland Portuguese area; and, (iii) the national plan for the defence of forest against fires was approved a decade ago and it is now reasonable to assess its impacts. Results confirmed (1) the influence of the dataset's characteristics on the detected clusters, (2) the existence of two different fire regimes in the country promoted by the different types of climate, (3) the positive impacts of the fire prevention policy decisions and (4) the ability of the STPSS to correctly identify clusters, regarding their number, location, and space-time size in spite of eventual space and/or time splits of the datasets. Finally, the role of the weather on days when clustered fires were active was confirmed for the classes of small, medium and large fires.
Mots-clé
Forest fires, Space-time permutation scan statistics, Cluster analysis, Weather, Climate
Création de la notice
03/06/2016 11:05
Dernière modification de la notice
04/02/2023 7:56
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